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US Covid-19 cases have flattened. Here’s why that may predict another surge, expert says




“On the one hand, we get vaccines at a record pace, but on the other we have these variants. We also know that there have been rises after the spring break and after the previous holidays. So what happens now is up to us, “emergency doctor Dr. Leana Wen told CNN on Sunday.

Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show more than 4,800 cases of coronavirus variants first detected in the United Kingdom, South Africa and Brazil. The actual number of cases is likely to be higher: this number only represents cases detected with the help of genomic sequencing, the agency reported.

“The best way to avoid any threat of variants is to do two things,” Dr. Anthony Fauci told CNN Sunday. “Vaccinate as many people as we can and continue with public health measures until we get this wide umbrella of protection over society that the level of infection is very low. “
This means the United States should not ease the restrictions before Covid-19 day, cases were down from 10,000 and “perhaps even considerably less than that,” Fauci he has said before.
But a growing list of governors they have recently announced reduced restrictions. And infection levels in the U.S. are almost low as variants circulate. An average of more than 53,000 Covid-19 cases and more than 1,350 deaths daily were recorded during the past week.

The decline in cases reported by officials earlier this year appears to have slowed, which is of concern to experts.

“Based on our previous experience in this country and in other countries, when you see a plateau predict another climb,” Dr. Celine Gounder, an infectious disease specialist and epidemiologist, told CNN on Sunday. “And we have these new variants that can also fuel a more serious rise.”

People gather on the beach in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, on March 14, 2021.

Meanwhile, the trip reaches pandemic records

The spring break, which has begun across the country, could be one perfect storm to spread variants.
100 arrested while spring break crowds hit Miami Beach despite the pandemic

In Miami Beach, Mayor Dan Gelber said over the weekend local officials see “too much spring break activity.”

“We have a problem with too many people coming here,” the mayor said. “We have a problem with too many people coming here to let go.”

Meanwhile, air travel across the country is reaching pandemic records.

More than 1.3 million people were examined at airports on Friday, the highest figure since March 15, 2020, according to the Transportation Security Administration.

More than 1.2 million people were projected Saturday, according to TSA spokeswoman Lisa Farbstein. That is twice the number of people examined on Feb. 9, Farbstein said a tweet.

“It was the eighth day of this month that performance exceeded (one million). If you plan to travel, put on a mask,” Farbstein added.

Good news for vaccines

While many Americans are pushing for a return to normalcy with a warmer climate on the horizon, U.S. officials do working to get so many shots in the arms as fast as possible.

To date, more than 69.7 million people have received at least one dose of Covid-19 vaccine. More than 37.4 million are fully vaccinated, approximately 11.3% of the U.S. population.

On Sunday, Dr. Scott Gottlieb, a former commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration and a current member of the Pfizer board, offered more encouraging news.

“All evidence of all vaccines now points in the direction that these vaccines reduce asymptomatic infection and reduce transmission,” he told CBS.

“If that’s the case, the vaccine creates what we call‘ dead-end guests, ’many dead-end guests, which means people will no longer be able to transmit the infection,” Gottlieb added.

Fauci says Covid's guidelines will be much more liberal & # 39;  before July 4 if cases in the U.S. are reduced
Last week, the CDC released theirs first set of guidelines for fully vaccinated people – Agency guidelines and other officials have said they will evolve as more Americans are vaccinated and more data become available.

“What we saw was the first installment of what can be done if vaccinated … what can be done at home, with vaccinated people together or vaccinated people with an unvaccinated person,” Fauci told the network CNN.

“You’ll soon see similar types of guidelines for the American public, when it comes to travel, the workplace, all sorts of different things,” he added. “You will immediately see these types of guidelines coming out.”

Political division on vaccinations

Health experts have estimated that between 70% and 85% of the American population should be vaccinated so that the country can achieve herd immunity against Covid-19. But the main challenges remain, CDC director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said last week, which included “restricted vaccine supply, continued vaccination of the vaccine and growing myths and misinformation related to Covid-19 vaccines.”

Another challenge: a political divide among Americans who plan to get a shot.

A CNN poll by SSRS, released Thursday, shows that while 92% of Democrats say they have gotten a dose of the vaccine or plan to get one, it drops to 50% among Republicans.

This is a finding that Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson called “worrying.”

Biden orders states to open vaccines to all adults before May 1st

In Georgia, Gov. Brian Kemp said at a news conference late last week that the state saw white Republicans faltering in various communities.

Another poll, conducted by NPR / PBS NewsHour / Marist, found that nearly half (47%) of people who supported President Donald Trump in the 2020 election said they would not get a Covid-19 vaccine. if it were available to them, while only 10% of the people who supported President Joe Biden said they would not be vaccinated.

Fauci said on “Fox News Sunday” that he believed Trump telling Republicans to get vaccinated “would make all the difference in the world.”

“He’s a very popular person among Republicans. If he came out and said, ‘Go get vaccinated, it’s really important to your health, the health of your family and the health of the country,'” it seems absolutely inevitable that the vast majority of people who are his closest followers would hear him, ”Fauci said.

CNN’s Michael Nedelman, Anjali Huynh, Hollie Silverman and Naomi Thomas contributed to this report.



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